Topic: Concealing
Baby Swallow
Type: two-way
Trend direction: Reversal
In today's
financial markets, the importance of technical analysis for successful trading
is increasingly recognized. One of the standout tools in technical analysis is
the Japanese candlesticks. Japanese candlesticks are visual tools used to
represent price changes in financial markets. These candlesticks consist of
bars that represent specific time periods, showing opening, closing, highest,
and lowest prices. The main reason for the prominence of the use of Japanese candlesticks in Forex trading is that market psychology can be better
understood through these bars. Each candle offers clues about the emotional
state of traders during a specific time frame, reflecting buying and selling
pressures and hinting at future price movements. In this article, we will
thoroughly examine the role of the Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern
in technical analysis. There are two variations of this pattern visible on
price charts:
- Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern
- Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern
Both
patterns give a strong signal that the market is about to reverse its current
trend. However, it is important to note that these patterns are not always
correct and should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators.
The two types of Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick patterns |
1. Bearish
Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern
Definition
Bearish
Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is a candlestick pattern in
Japanese candlestick analysis. This pattern is usually seen in an uptrend and
signals the beginning of a decline in the near future. Here is the basic
structure of this pattern:
- The First
Two Candlesticks: These candlesticks typically represent bullish candles, often
green or white in color. Sometimes they are also seen as Marubozu candlesticks.
This indicates strong buying pressure in the market and signifies an upward
trend.
- Third
Candle: This candle is a small white or green candle with a long lower wick. This shows
that there is a minor selling pressure in the market, but the buying pressure
is still dominant.
- The Last
Candlestick: This candlestick is a long green or white candle that engulfs the
bodies of the previous two candles. It also has a body large enough to cover
all or a considerable portion of the previous candle. This formation can be
interpreted as a sign of weakness among buyers and suggests that the market may
be entering a downtrend.
Bearish
Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is interpreted as a weakening in
the bullish trend and the beginning of sellers gaining strength. When we see
this formation in the market, we need to be aware that the market trend may be
changing. This pattern is more reliable when it is seen in an overbought zone.
Trading
The Bearish
Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern indicates that the market is
trending towards a downtrend and may increase the probability of a trend
reversal. This indicates a change in market dynamics as it shows that buying
demand is weakening and selling pressure is increasing. It is essential to
check if the four candles of this pattern have formed before taking a short
position. After this candlestick pattern is confirmed with other technical
indicators, we can take a short position. We can place a sell order at the
closing level of the last candle and set the stop loss level at the highest
price level seen by the last candle. See the example on the daily chart
of the US Dollar Index:
The Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow in USD Index |
It is
important to keep in mind that the bearish concealing baby swallow candlestick
pattern, which is a rare occurrence on price charts, may not always be
reliable. It is important to not use this pattern alone, as with other
candlestick patterns, and to evaluate it in conjunction with other indicators.
When the general market conditions, news, and other fundamental factors are
also taken into account, the analysis of this pattern can be more perspective
and trustworthy.
2. Bullish
Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern
Definition
The Bullish
Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern is a formation within the framework
of Japanese candlestick analysis and is typically interpreted as a signal for
the market to exit a downtrend. This pattern is one of the technical analysis
tools that play a principal role in monitoring price movements and
follows the basic structure below:
- First Two
Candlesticks: The first two candles are long candles. They usually have a red
or black color. This represents a downtrend, indicating strong selling pressure
in the market.
- Next
Candle: The third candle is a small black or red candle with a long upper
shadow. This indicates that there is a slight increase in buying demand in the
market, but sellers are still control.
- Last
Candlestick: The fourth candle is a long red or black candle that engulfs the
bodies of the previous two candles. It usually has a body large enough to cover
all or part of the previous candle. This indicates a weakening in selling
pressure and suggests a possible upward movement in the market.
If a long
green or white candle forms after this pattern, it indicates that the pattern
is more robust. In addition, it is more reliable if it is confirmed with other
technical indicators and begins to rise from the oversold zone. However, it
should be noted that this pattern does not guarantee the start of an absolute
uptrend on its own.
Trading
The Bullish
Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is a signal that indicates a
possible exit from the current downtrend in financial markets. This particular
candlestick formation shows that a bullish trend may be in the making, as it
signals that buying pressure is increasing and selling pressure is weakening.
We can generally interpret this pattern as an indicator of a change in market
momentum, and it can provide us with important information about future price
movements. The main goal here is to understand that the downward pressure in
the market may have slowed down and that buyers are starting to take control
again. Before taking a long position, we must make sure that this pattern has
been completed. After the fourth candle closes, we place a buy order. We can
set the stop loss level at the lowest price level seen by the last candle. An example
is given on the daily chart of Ford Motor Company stock:
The Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow in Ford's Stock |
Remember, using the Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern can increase our chances of successful trading. However, understanding that the Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern isn't always an accurate indicator is crucial. While Japanese candlesticks in technical analysis are powerful tools for trading in financial markets, relying solely on any single pattern or indicator doesn't guarantee reliable results. Therefore, it's important to use them in combination with other technical indicators and set stop-loss and take-profit levels for risk management.