Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Patterns in Trading

How to trade Bearish and Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Patterns

Topic: Concealing Baby Swallow

Type: two-way

Trend direction: Reversal 

In today's financial markets, the importance of technical analysis for successful trading is increasingly recognized. One of the standout tools in technical analysis is the Japanese candlesticks. Japanese candlesticks are visual tools used to represent price changes in financial markets. These candlesticks consist of bars that represent specific time periods, showing opening, closing, highest, and lowest prices. The main reason for the prominence of the use of Japanese candlesticks in Forex trading is that market psychology can be better understood through these bars. Each candle offers clues about the emotional state of traders during a specific time frame, reflecting buying and selling pressures and hinting at future price movements. In this article, we will thoroughly examine the role of the Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern in technical analysis. There are two variations of this pattern visible on price charts:

  1. Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern
  2. Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern

Both patterns give a strong signal that the market is about to reverse its current trend. However, it is important to note that these patterns are not always correct and should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators.

This illustration shows the bearish and bullish concealing baby swallow candlestick patterns.
The two types of Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick patterns

1. Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern

Definition

Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is a candlestick pattern in Japanese candlestick analysis. This pattern is usually seen in an uptrend and signals the beginning of a decline in the near future. Here is the basic structure of this pattern:

  • The First Two Candlesticks: These candlesticks typically represent bullish candles, often green or white in color. Sometimes they are also seen as Marubozu candlesticks. This indicates strong buying pressure in the market and signifies an upward trend.
  • Third Candle: This candle is a small white or green candle with a long lower wick. This shows that there is a minor selling pressure in the market, but the buying pressure is still dominant.
  • The Last Candlestick: This candlestick is a long green or white candle that engulfs the bodies of the previous two candles. It also has a body large enough to cover all or a considerable portion of the previous candle. This formation can be interpreted as a sign of weakness among buyers and suggests that the market may be entering a downtrend.

Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is interpreted as a weakening in the bullish trend and the beginning of sellers gaining strength. When we see this formation in the market, we need to be aware that the market trend may be changing. This pattern is more reliable when it is seen in an overbought zone.

Trading

The Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern indicates that the market is trending towards a downtrend and may increase the probability of a trend reversal. This indicates a change in market dynamics as it shows that buying demand is weakening and selling pressure is increasing. It is essential to check if the four candles of this pattern have formed before taking a short position. After this candlestick pattern is confirmed with other technical indicators, we can take a short position. We can place a sell order at the closing level of the last candle and set the stop loss level at the highest price level seen by the last candle. See the example on the daily chart of the US Dollar Index:

Bearish candlestick formation (Concealing Baby Swallow) observed in the USD Index daily chart, indicating a possible market downturn.
The Bearish Concealing Baby Swallow in USD Index

It is important to keep in mind that the bearish concealing baby swallow candlestick pattern, which is a rare occurrence on price charts, may not always be reliable. It is important to not use this pattern alone, as with other candlestick patterns, and to evaluate it in conjunction with other indicators. When the general market conditions, news, and other fundamental factors are also taken into account, the analysis of this pattern can be more perspective and trustworthy.


2. Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern

Definition

The Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow Candlestick Pattern is a formation within the framework of Japanese candlestick analysis and is typically interpreted as a signal for the market to exit a downtrend. This pattern is one of the technical analysis tools that play a principal role in monitoring price movements and follows the basic structure below:

  • First Two Candlesticks: The first two candles are long candles. They usually have a red or black color. This represents a downtrend, indicating strong selling pressure in the market.
  • Next Candle: The third candle is a small black or red candle with a long upper shadow. This indicates that there is a slight increase in buying demand in the market, but sellers are still control.
  • Last Candlestick: The fourth candle is a long red or black candle that engulfs the bodies of the previous two candles. It usually has a body large enough to cover all or part of the previous candle. This indicates a weakening in selling pressure and suggests a possible upward movement in the market.

If a long green or white candle forms after this pattern, it indicates that the pattern is more robust. In addition, it is more reliable if it is confirmed with other technical indicators and begins to rise from the oversold zone. However, it should be noted that this pattern does not guarantee the start of an absolute uptrend on its own.

Trading

The Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern is a signal that indicates a possible exit from the current downtrend in financial markets. This particular candlestick formation shows that a bullish trend may be in the making, as it signals that buying pressure is increasing and selling pressure is weakening. We can generally interpret this pattern as an indicator of a change in market momentum, and it can provide us with important information about future price movements. The main goal here is to understand that the downward pressure in the market may have slowed down and that buyers are starting to take control again. Before taking a long position, we must make sure that this pattern has been completed. After the fourth candle closes, we place a buy order. We can set the stop loss level at the lowest price level seen by the last candle. An example is given on the daily chart of Ford Motor Company stock:

Candlestick chart displaying an Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow pattern in the daily view of Ford Motor Company's stock, indicating a possible bullish trend.
The Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow in Ford's Stock

Remember, using the Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern can increase our chances of successful trading. However, understanding that the Bullish Concealing Baby Swallow candlestick pattern isn't always an accurate indicator is crucial. While Japanese candlesticks in technical analysis are powerful tools for trading in financial markets, relying solely on any single pattern or indicator doesn't guarantee reliable results. Therefore, it's important to use them in combination with other technical indicators and set stop-loss and take-profit levels for risk management.

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